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Sometimes you get yourself tangled up in your own statistics in trying to prove your points. You say that the fact that UT only outscored the Hogs 30-28 in the second half is a better indication of the relative strength of the two teams. Yet you seem to ignore that UK only beat UT by three at TBA and played them almost even at Rupp after UK's opening outburst. In fact, I think I read that UK only shot about 36% after going 11 straight on FGs early. So, by your logic, the game at TBA and the fact that UK didn't materially stretch out their advantage in the late going is a better indication of the relative strength of UT and UK than the final score of the game at Rupp.

You say that you still think UT drops 3 of their last 5, yet only UK and Vandy can be reasonably argued to be decisively better than the Vols right now and you know the game at TBA will be a LOT closer than the one at Vandy, unless of course the Vols blow them out. Since nearly everybody, including you, thought the Vols wouldn't be better than darn near ANYBODY before the season began, how can you think the Vols are going to lose to a depleted Alabama team AND an inconsistent LSU team, now that they feel they might really have something to play for? Of course they CAN lose those games, but don't you think they have a better chance than you would have thought a few weeks ago?