Cal by the Numbers
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Tennessee football coach Phillip Fulmer is all smiles as he talks to his wife before announcing a $1 million gift to the UT by the Fulmer family.
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Tennessee football coach Phillip Fulmer is all smiles as he talks to his wife before announcing a $1 million gift to the UT by the Fulmer family.
Last year, I wrote that the 2006 season opener with California was the most important game of the Phillip Fulmer Era. I stand by that.
Tennessee was coming off of a dismal 5-6 season. Fans were questioning the direction of the program. There were a number of other question marks as well (the return of offense coordinator David Cutcliffe, the appearance of new assistants, the salvation of Erik Ainge, to name a few.)
Last year’s 35-18 beat-down was like a strong cup of coffee in the morning. It cleared the cobwebs from the season before. Vol fans starting talking loud and walking proud again.
As the season wore on, Tennessee would eventually drop games to nationally ranked Florida, Arkansas and LSU. They would lose in disappointing fashion in their bowl game. But the season was still viewed by most as a success.
Now … imagine if Tennessee had lost to Cal. Would the feelings at the end of an 8-5 campaign had been so bright? Would a 1-2 start (with a one-point win over Air Force) had quieted upset fans in the early weeks of 2006?
We all know the answer to that. Last year’s game against Cal was of major importance. This year’s? Not as much.
“How important is today’s game from a fan perspective?”
It’s not as important as last year’s opener.
Tennessee’s program is in a different place than it was last year. The 2006 team won nine games and went to a bowl. That’s a far cry from the sour taste of 5-6. So fans aren’t as likely to revolt if UT loses tonight.
This game is also on the road, not at home, where the Vols have had some struggles in recent years. A road loss, while not fun, is a lot more palatable to fans and big boosters than a loss right in front of their expensive seats and luxury boxes.
Also, there aren’t as many question marks this year. After seeing the work Cutcliffe and staff did last year, there’s now an idea of what Vol fans will get in 2007. Last year, that wasn’t the case. No one knew for sure what to expect.
Bottom line, to the local fans, a loss to Cal would be easily eclipsed by a win over Florida just a few weeks later. This year’s opener just isn’t as important as last year’s opener.
“How important is today’s game from a national media perspective?”
OK, there’s a caveat. This year’s opener is extremely important in terms of national respect and perception.
Tennessee fans often bemoan the fact that their team gets no respect. According to an ESPN.com survey of the last decade’s pre-season and post-season polls, that’s not the case.
Tennessee, since 1997, has been the second most overrated team in the country, dropping more slots from the start of the season to the end of the season than any school other than Florida State.
That makes national prognosticators look bad. And that makes them more likely to take a “believe it when I see it” attitude with the Vols. They’ll be a lot slower to buy into Tennessee than the Big Orange faithful will be, that’s for sure.
Tennessee is 14-10 in their last 24 games. One national publication has listed Fulmer as one of four coaches in America on the hot seat, claiming that he must get the Vols back in the national title hunt.
A win over much-hyped Cal, on the road, on national television, in prime time, can put the Vols right back into that mix. Even if it is ridiculously early in the season.
A win tonight would go along way toward reestablishing Tennessee as a perennial Big Boy with the folks who set the agenda (ESPN, FoxSports, Sports Illustrated, etc).
“What does Tennessee need to do to win tonight’s game?”
This is simple. This is easy. Tennessee must outrush California.
Last year, the biggest holes in UT’s attack were their own ability to run the ball and their inability to stop opponents from running on them.
Tennessee was pushed around when it came to the ground attack. On both sides of the ball.
Outrushing Cal will accomplish five things for Tennessee:
1. With a rebuilt wide receiver corps featuring new faces (and a few old faces getting new looks), the Vol passing attack probably won’t be able to carry the Vols as was the case last year. Running the ball tonight will take pressure off the new wideouts, Erik Ainge’s pinky and the passing game.
2. If Tennessee outrushes Cal, it will show that Tennessee has shored up its rush D from last year. The Vols need to shut down the diminutive, but effective, Justin Forsett to prove that last year’s troubles were an aberration.
3. While we’re talking about sending messages, outgaining the Golden Bears on the ground will also let future opponents know that Tennessee is back to playing Fulmer-style football. “Line it up, knock ‘em out of the way, run it over the top of ‘em.”
4. It would also help serve as a reminder to Cal’s players that last year’s game was a mismatch. No doubt, coach Jeff Tedford has been pointing to this game all off-season. But a punch in the mouth or two, via bruising runs, should help to create a little self-doubt in the Pac-10.
5. Lastly, and perhaps most importantly, if this game is close late and Tennessee has used the no-huddle offense as much as most think they will, the Vols can’t afford to have a gassed defensive line. Running the ball on offense, setting the tempo and controlling the clock can help protect the thin ranks on the Vols’ line.
John Pennington hosts the Halls Salvage Sports Source on Sunday at 11 a.m. on WATE.
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Comments » 14
andy112382#209793 writes:
I want to see Foster do, in front of his grandpa and near his home, what Travis Stephens did at Florida in 2001 when we weren't suppose to stand a chance either! Big game for the Vols and a special season about to kick off in big orange country!!! GO VOLS!!!
andy112382#209793 writes:
With as much talk Cal has had about revenge and the loss last season burning their souls and what not, it sure seems to me they are setting themselves up for some trouble. If we can jump on them early and disrupt their flow, I can see them jumping into panic mode which translates into them trying to force big plays which our defense would feast on. If that happens, it will be last seasons opener all over again for the Vols! GO VOLS!!!
jweaver3#395614 writes:
I agree andy, a loss for Cal. would be devastating in front of their home fans.
Great article John, we do need to return to Vol ball and have Foster, Hardesty and Creer run wild on the bears. I feel Chief will have our defense ready and we will be able to stop the run.
GO VOLS
TXVOLSFAN
CrankE writes:
I think UT is still too physical for Cal no matter who graduated/left. We are who we are. They are who they are. All the hype is that our receivers are green. Which is why UT has been drilling hard on running the ball.
In 1989, UT went to the west coast to open their season at UCLA with an upset victory. That win ignited the best decade in UT football history. I wonder if UT isn't primed for another such win. I'll take UT 24-6.
mtnvol writes:
Left Coast football is soft! Physical southern boys + no huddle = pooped bears in the 4th qtr. If you old school folks remember, that's the quarter that the most famous Bear always told us was "the Man's Quarter." Hold up four fingers and kick some bear butt!
AllVol writes:
"Prescient"? What the hell is that?! Just kidding, although I will have to look it up (and I teach high school English). Vols are stronger and faster and, hopefully, better conditioned. I just don't think Cal can hang through four quarters against a top-tier SEC team. GO BIG ORANGE.
CoverOrange writes:
In football jargon, AllVol, it's like prognosticating. And I foresee several 10+ play drives featuring the run. That'll keep our defense fresh and make the OL prove itself. It's back to the future time in Tennessee.
AllVol writes:
Oh, yes, as in having some foreknowledge or ability to see ahead. Gracias. Back to the future works for me. What's a fancy word for ass-kickin'?. :)
Go Vols!
AllVol writes:
Lee Corso: "Please win, California." What a ------- idiot.
knoxtenor writes:
The very fact that Corso is rooting for the Bears makes it all the more likely that UT will win. He's like the News-Sentinel's movie reviewer, Betsy Pickle--if she pans a movie, it's bound to be a blockbuster. If Corso were to ever predict UT a winner, I would have to look around to make sure that I hadn't slipped into some alternate quantum reality.
CrankE writes:
When Corso takes the Vols, I take cover.
bpvol#216873 writes:
Holtz and Corso both picked Cal & we are the underdog....all the stars are aligning correctly...
Spells a win for the Vols...
bpvol#216873 writes:
TDTN Hopefully we can establish the run with some long, time consuming, old time Tennessee drives. Take the pressure off the young WR's and DB's. As he said, set the tempo.
That said, the difference could be special teams?? Lets hope we have improved on kick and punt coverage...and not put the defense in bad field position....or worse....
BuckFama writes:
Regardless of who beat whom in a bowl game, we beat the snot out of Cal when it was us against them. It was not close.
These teams are different teams. The Cal team that beat A&M is not made up of the same players as this year's team. Similarly, many of the Vols who lost to PSU in the last Outback Bowl are gone.
We have just under 5 hours until we find out what is what with this year's team. Then we will know whether or not we should worry.
Although I tend to look askance at journalists who write sports articles, I will give this piece's writer credit for not writing that this is the do-all and end-all of college football. He's treating it as the players are, that is, he knows that it is a stiff test, and that if the Vols lose, they will strap it on next Saturday vs. USM.
GO VOLS!
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