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Issues at QB may hold LSU, Auburn back
Mississippi State finds out early if it can challenge favorites in West
2008 SEC WEST PREDICTIONS
- 1. Auburn
- 2. LSU
- 3. Mississippi State
- 4. Alabama
- 5. Ole Miss
- 6. Arkansas
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LSU was an overwhelming favorite to win the SEC West in 2007. And it lived up to the expectations, winning a conference and national championship.
There's no clear-cut favorite in the division next season. And the two top candidates - LSU and Auburn - have quarterback issues.
Like Auburn, Mississippi State should be improved. Alabama has too many holes on defense, Ole Miss has a slightly better outlook, and Arkansas should be a consensus pick for last.
Auburn
2007 record: 9-4
Starters returning: seven on offense, six on defense.
Offense: Four starters return in the offensive line, and so does the Tigers' three-man tailback rotation of Brad Lester, Ben Tate and Mario Fannin. But there's a big question mark at quarterback. Kodi Burns, a backup to three-year starter Brandon Cox, and junior college transfer Chris Todd will compete for the starting job in the spread offense implemented by new offensive coordinator Tony Franklin. Burns is an exceptional runner, and Todd is a better passer.
Defense: Despite losing pass-rush star Quentin Groves, this should be one of the nation's top defenses. Antonio Coleman and Sen'Derrick Marks are big-time defensive ends, the top six linebackers return, and cornerback Jerraud Powers heads the secondary.
Strengths: Another fast, hardnosed defense, and a physical, potent running game.
Weaknesses: Auburn has to throw more effectively to complement its ground game, and the wide receivers need to produce more big plays.
Schedule: Its three toughest conference games -Tennessee, LSU and Georgia -are at home. So is a non-conference game against national championship contender West Virginia.
Outlook: The Tigers are capable of beating anybody on a demanding schedule. But their passing game must improve if they hope to win a division title.
LSU
2007 record: 12-2
Starters returning: seven on offense, four on defense.
Offense: Four starters will return in an offensive line headlined by All-SEC performers Ciron Black (6-foot-5, 320) at tackle and Herman Johnson (6-7, 356) at guard. Despite losing Jacob Hester, the running back corps is deep and talented, and Demetrius Byrd finished strong at wide receiver. Ryan Perrilloux has great athletic potential but a checkered past.
Defense: The Tigers will dearly miss two-time All-American tackle Glenn Dorsey, but younger players like Al Woods, and Drake Nevis are ready to make a name for themselves alongside veterans Marlon Favorite and national championship game star Ricky-Jean Francois at tackle. Replacing three starters in the secondary will be a bigger challenge, but look out for 6-3, 220-pound safety Chad Jones, who flashed playmaking ability as a freshman.
Strengths: A powerful offensive line and a strong set of running backs, led by Keiland Williams.
Weaknesses: Uncertainty at quarterback, where Perrilloux and freshman Jarrett Lee, a highly touted pocket passer, will compete for the starting job. The Tigers also must break in two new cornerbacks.
Schedule: The SEC's toughest road schedule will have the Tigers at Auburn, South Carolina, Georgia and Florida.
Outlook: Despite its inexperience on defense and uncertainty at quarterback, LSU should contend for another division title at the very least.
Mississippi State
2007 record: 8-5
Starters returning: seven on offense, eight on defense.
Offense: Running backs Anthony Dixon and Christian Ducre give the Bulldogs a solid one-two punch, and three starters return in the offensive line, led by tackle Michael Brown. Quarterback Wesley Carroll demonstrated leadership qualities and a coolness under fire in his first year as a starter, and wide receiver Jamayel Smith showed playmaking potential late in the season.
Defense: Safety Derek Pegues and cornerback Anthony Johnson will head up a strong secondary, which returns four starters, but there's work to do up front.
Mammoth tackles Kyle Love (320 pounds) and Jessie Bowman (305) are back, and so are four of the top five linebackers. But ends, Titus Brown and Avery Hannibal, must be replaced.
Strengths: Overall toughness on both sides of the ball, which you would expect from a Sylvester Croom-coached team.
Weaknesses: The passing game must continue to improve in a division that is typically strong against the run.
Schedule: Outside the East, the Bulldogs must play at Tennessee, but they've got home games against Vanderbilt and Kentucky.
Outlook: Back-to-back bowl games look probable. The Bulldogs will know early whether they have a shot at the division title. They play Auburn and LSU in September.
Alabama
2007 record: 7-6
Starters returning: 10 on offense, six on defense.
Offense: The Tide returns all five starters in a talented line, led by tackle Andre Smith. Quarterback John Parker Wilson is back for his third season as a starter, but the one loss on offense is big - wide receiver DJ Hall.
Defense: Rashad Johnson has emerged as an All-SEC safety, and linebacker Rolando McClain started as a true freshman. But the Tide don't have the overall defensive talent to match LSU and Auburn.
Strengths: An experienced offense with a formidable offense line.
Weaknesses: Nick Saban made a name for himself with talented, aggressive defenses that play man-to-man in the secondary and attack you with an array of blitzes. He's at least another recruiting class away from having the personnel to accommodate that system.
Schedule: Alabama must play on the road against Georgia, Tennessee and LSU.
Outlook: Too much schedule and not enough defense to contend for a division championship.
Ole Miss
2007 record: 3-9
Starters returning: Seven on offense, 10 on defense.
Offense: All-SEC tackle Michael Oher leads an offensive line that returns four starters, but the Rebels lose their top two running backs. Wide receivers Michael Wallace, Marshay Green and Shay Hodge could flourish if new quarterback Jevan Snead is as good as advertised.
Defense: Greg Hardy is the league's top pass rusher, and Peria Jerry is solid at tackle, but this unit is still lacking, especially in the secondary.
Strengths: Houston Nutt's motivational powers should provide a spark for a downtrodden program. The offense line looks solid, and the defense is at least more experienced.
Weaknesses: There's no proven running back, and plenty of question marks on defense. In 10 years at Arkansas, Nutt never developed a consistent passing game.
Schedule: Ole Miss should be favored to end its eight-game SEC losing streak with a Sept. 20 home game against Vanderbilt. It also will play South Carolina and Florida from the East, and Wake Forest on the road in non-conference play.
Outlook: The Rebels don't look bowl-worthy, and they're still playing catch-up to the Bulldogs in their own state. But they're better than the team Nutt left behind at Arkansas.
Arkansas
2007 record: 8-5
Starters returning: Five on offense, six on defense.
Offense: If All-American center Jonathan Luigs returns for his senior season, he will anchor an offensive line that returns three starters. And if Felix Jones returns for his senior season, new head coach Bobby Petrino will have at least one big-time running back.
Defense: The Razorbacks will return two of their starting linebackers, and Freddy Burton made the All-SEC freshman team at that position. Arkansas also returns three starters on its front four, but the secondary must be rebuilt.
Strengths: The defensive front seven will be experienced, and the offensive line could be outstanding if Luigs returns.
Weaknesses: They're plentiful, starting with Casey Dick at quarterback and extending to wide receiver. If Jones goes pro, even the running game will be in question.
Schedule: Florida and South Carolina in the East, and a non-conference game against Texas in Austin.
Outlook: Nutt got out just in time. The Razorbacks should tumble past Ole Miss into last place in the West.
© 2008, Knoxville News Sentinel Co.
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Posted by kdt0725 on January 14, 2008 at 12:11 a.m. (Suggest removal)
I hardly call Ryan Perilloux a question mark at QB...hey John...did you watch the SEC Championship game?
Not to sound negative, but I think Id rather have him than Crompton.
Posted by calivol on January 14, 2008 at 12:18 a.m. (Suggest removal)
Auburn plays West Virginia on the road, not at home.
Posted by brdteton on January 14, 2008 at 12:34 a.m. (Suggest removal)
GoVols...
And Perilloux is good, if he isn't suspended for disciplinary or academic reasons...
Posted by andy112382 on January 14, 2008 at 1:12 a.m. (Suggest removal)
Yea, I'd rather have Crompton just based on the uncertainity with Perilloux and not knowing if you'll have him one week to the next because the possibility of doing time or academic suspension are rather high based on his track record.
Posted by anthony on January 14, 2008 at 2:13 a.m. (Suggest removal)
Too bad we don't play them!! Or do we??
Posted by asleep on January 14, 2008 at 3:31 a.m. (Suggest removal)
I'd rather have Crompton. Perilloux is an athlete but he hasn't proven he can throw against good pass D (we don't count) and I don't think they are optimistic in Baton Rouge about his ability to really understand the offense and/or read defenses. He is absolutely a liability compared to Flynn. I wouldn't be shocked in the other kid doesn't really have a chance to play. Go Vols!!!
Posted by why36knot on January 14, 2008 at 7:03 a.m. (Suggest removal)
Who cares?
Posted by ruslt on January 14, 2008 at 7:42 a.m. (Suggest removal)
The biggest ? for Perilloux is staying out of trouble. He has been suspended more than he has thrown passes.
Posted by hiresanders on January 14, 2008 at 7:53 a.m. (Suggest removal)
SEC comes down to the Florida-Georgia game in jacksonville
Posted by lempga on January 14, 2008 at 8:06 a.m. (Suggest removal)
Adams, do they have you loaded yet? I-75 to Chattanooga then take your pick south to AL or LA.
Posted by pdhuff on January 14, 2008 at 8:30 a.m. (Suggest removal)
Just hope we get the chance to see Au or LSU in the SEC CG. Loooong way to go.
Clawson, stay your course. Chavis, find some players.
Posted by utfpmd on January 14, 2008 at 8:35 a.m. (Suggest removal)
kdt0725, I did watch the SEC championship game and was not impressed with Perilloux (except for his toughness). Ainge did a much better job for LSU.
Posted by sjt18 on January 14, 2008 at 10:18 a.m. (Suggest removal)
hiresanders, That may be the case. However, UGA loses the most out of the big 3 in the East. It could just as easily and maybe more probably come down to UT v UF... especially since the game is in K'ville.
I would agree that the SEC will be decided in the East. It wouldn't surprise me at all if someone other than LSU or Aub won the West. I think the 7 lost starters for LSU on D are alot bigger deal than the writer here indicates. Their offense wasn't anything all that special against the better teams they played.
Posted by sjt18 on January 14, 2008 at 2:57 p.m. (Suggest removal)
Perrilloux probably won't be the problem unless his behavior gets him. He is a better player from a physical standpoint than Flynn hands down.
The problems are that they lose half their starters and if I remember correctly more than half of their two deep... plus they are coached by Miles who won't have Pelini, Fisher, or Saban's talent to lean on anymore.
Posted by 55Vol on January 14, 2008 at 4:17 p.m. (Suggest removal)
Perriloux will be ok for LSU, if as sjt18 said, he can stay out of trouble off the field. LSU lost so many players this year, it will be interesting to see if they can simply re-load or if they have to rebuild. Theoretically, LSU should turn it around quicker than Auburn, but I do not count a Tuberville team out so early.
Nutt will win a game or so UM is not supposed to win and MSU and Ala. will also create some waves. The west will be as interesting as the East. I hope Crompton can be coached up to be consistent and manage the game well. If so, with what we return, on paper at least, we should be running downhill and stretching the field a bit more. Seems Crompton has a better long ball arm than Ainge did.
Posted by orangebloodgmc on January 15, 2008 at 11:56 a.m. (Suggest removal)
All good comments on LSU. But they have had strong recruiting classes for multiple years, so should reload. Will be interesting to see who their new DC will be. Coach Miles dares to take chances, which I grudgingly admire, but it might bite him in butt more this season than what he got away with in '07.
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